Wednesday, October 8, 2014

Gartner 2014: How does VMWare CTO Paul Strong think we can cultivate IT agility?

A few of us attend various conferences and I attended a couple recently.  There was lots of good stuff and my intention is to cover a few topics in our newsletters going forward.  Hopefully, we can stimulate a bit of positive debate and discussion.   In part, what we learn will help to make our new 2015/16 strategic plan as good as it can be - incidently, this is due by the end of December 2014.  

We also need to update our IT strategy to take into account our new corporate plan.  Our new strategy needs to be cognisant of any technology advances or anything else on our 'landscape' that might have changed.

So, first up on the topic list is IT agility.
How can we cultivate IT agility? in other words, how can we respond quickly to customer demand without getting stuck in bureaucratic treacle?  But, it's a bit more than that.  How can we get ahead of the game and be a supportive and positive partner to our University?  Our knowledge and expertise ought to put us in a great place to understand how technology can be leveraged to push us collectively forward.  So, what's stopping us?

Well, I attended an interesting presentation by Paul Strong, Chief Technology Officer at VMWare.  I also managed to speak to Paul for a bit after his Gartner presentation.   While he didn't really address the whole IT agility question, he did address a small part - which mostly revolves around IT process automation.  And, it did contain a call to action for central / enterprise IT - that's us by the way.   For those of you who don't know - and appologies to those who do - we use VMWare technology to run most of our data centre.

Paul reckons we’ve got it a bit wrong for the last 30 years.  Concentrating on infrastructure and ‘spinning rust’* rather than ‘Innovation Technology’ – as he says IT should really represent.  (*IT infrastructure joke for spinning magnetic disk.  No, it doesn't get any better in infrastructure land)
What does he mean by this?  Organisations typically use the application lifecycle – with an operational process framework to help.    The framework we use, of course, is ITIL and Joe McIntyre and his team have put a lot of time into its adoption - with some of us getting certified to different levels.
ITIL is a common approach for operational management of services and provides processes and we all have supporting tools such as a service desk system - we use Supportworks.  Almost everyone uses ITIL in some form.  So far, so good.  But, ITIL and other frameworks obfuscate and get in the way of agility.  People in these processes often act as gatekeepers – preventing change.  Security specialists are often particularly obstructive to speedy adoption of anything new.  Sorry guys - this isn't to say security and processes aren't necessary.  Far from it.  But..this is not necessarily the way to agility.   As with everything, it's a balance Paul argues - we probably all agree.

Paul suggests that organisations have too many applications and therefore complexity.  This is the primary reason why IT has not brought the expected economies of scale and actually holds back innovation.  It’s far too complicated.  Cloud providers are much better at this.  Why should this be the case?    Cloud providers only provide a small number of architectural blueprints that they refine and run efficiently.  With fewer blueprints, you can automate like crazy and economies of scale are possible.   It’s all about simplification.

How do we get better at this?  Standardise, standardise, standardise.  Not a great mystery.  The complexity is not about the number of servers*; it’s the number of server variants.  *Insert any technology for server.  This is one of the primary principles we use when looking at technical architectures at our IT Architecture Board.  But, the emphasis on a limited number of simple technical choices perhaps needs to be greater.  Compromise functionality to gain greater simplicity.
So, onto Virtualisation.  I won’t repeat all the standard Virtualisation stuff.  But, and Paul didn’t talk about this, what about the Virtualisation vendor?  Should we stick with VMWare or go to, the now number two, Microsoft.  Gartner have a nice magic quadrant that compares vendors over time.   



Paul asserts, like most others, that cloud is a new consumption model for IT which is massively disruptive.  People are and will be enticed by the consumption model – the experience of buying commodity and relatively cost effective IT infrastructure and SaaS*.    If central IT don’t get on board then business units and everyone else will go straight to cloud providers.  The central IT barrier, whether it’s security or some other obstacle will be moved around.  So, this is a challenge that central IT teams need to respond to.  Remember, that's us.  (*Software as a Service)
Paul’s general recommendation is to automate simple architectures like there's no tomorrow –  this is the great opportunity. The natural trend will be to push via automation to cloud services from and to on premise services - in other words, hybrid cloud.   This is where VMWare is positioned (amongst a few others), to provide a single control point – for the hybrid cloud. Once, organisations do this then operational cost will reduce freeing up budget and providing time for innovation. 

We need to watch out for disruptive change like this.  Remember Encyclopaedia Britannica? $600m revenue in 1990.  Down to $195m revenue in 1995.  Now, they are effectively gone.  Obviously,  Wikipedia pretty much now own this space.
So, central IT – we don’t want to be another Encyclopaedia Britannica.

The impact of IT on the consumer, business and our culture has been huge in the last few years.
Amazon is a good example of a company who have radically disrupted at least two business areas.  Books and supply chain have been transformed – eliminating value chain intermediaries, introducing a new monetization model, driving customer preference in an existing market.    Media distribution companies have been effectively destroyed by Amazon.  Paul agrues that the same thing is happening in cloud, again driven by Amazon and AWS.  Perhaps, looking back in five years – we will only really understand how disruptive cloud has been.   It is worth noting that not everyone agrees with Paul.  

So, Central / Enterprise IT, the challenge is to engage positively and work with SaaS and the cloud to provide value and this means challenging why we run basic server and storage infrastructure ourselves.

Tuesday, October 7, 2014

Gartner 2014 : Top 10 Strategic Predictions


Top 10 Strategic Predictions:

Digital Business is Driving ‘Big Change’

Gartner analyst, Daryl Plummer
(Thanks Aurora! for the notes)
 
(1)   By 2018, digital business requires 50% less business process workers and 500% more key digital business jobs, compared to traditional models.

Recommendation: IT Leaders – develop new hiring practices to recruit for the new non-traditional IT rules.

(2)   By 2017, a significant disruptive digital business will be launched that was conceived by a computer algorithm.

Recommendation: CIOs must begin to simulate technology-driven transformation options for business.


(3)   By 2018, the total cost of ownership for business operations will be reduced by 30% through smart machines and industrialized services.
 
Recommendation: CIOs must experiment with precursor ‘almost smart machine’ technologies and phantom robotic business process automation.

(4)   By 2020, developed world life expectancy will increase by 0.5 years due to widespread adoption of wireless health monitoring technology.

Recommendation: Business leaders must examine the impact of increased wellness on insurance and employee healthcare costs as a competitive factor.

(5)   By YE16, $2.5 billion in online shopping will be performed exclusively by mobile digital assistants.

Recommendation: Marketing executives must develop marketing techniques that capture the attention of digital assistants as well as people.

(6)   By 2017, U.S. customers’ mobile engagement behaviour will drive U.S. mobile commerce revenue to 50% of U.S. digital commerce revenue.

Recommendation: Mobile marketing teams investigate mobile wallets such as Apple’s Passbook and Google Wallet as consumer interest in mobile commerce and payment grows.

(7)   By 2017, more than half of consumer product and service R&D investments will be redirected to customer experience innovations.

Recommendation: Consumer companies must invest in customer insight through persona and ethnographic research.

(8)   By 2017, nearly 20% of durable goods e-tailers will use 3D printing to create personalized product offerings.

Recommendation: CIOs, product development leaders and business partners – evaluate gaps between the existing ‘as is’ and future ‘to be’ state (process, skills, and technology) surrounding 3D printing.

(9)   By 2018, retail businesses that utilize targeted messaging in combination with internal positioning systems will see a 20% increase in customer visits.


Recommendation: CIOs must help expand good customer data to support real-time offers.
 
      (10) By 2016, 70% of successful digital business models will rely on deliberately unstable processes designed to shift as customer needs shift. CIO need to create an agile, responsive workforce that is accountable, responsive, and supports your organizational liquidity.

Gartner 2014. Interview with Satya Nadella, Chief Executive Officer, Microsoft


Very busy session, CIOs (and people like me who managed to get onto the CIO programme) get to see the interview in person - but still miles away.   The other 8,000 attendees or so spread across the other venues.
Right.  Let’s see what Satya has to say.

Gartner begins with a suggestion that – on the one hand – Microsoft is being challenged like never before.  Even in core areas such as personal productivity (by Google and others), data analytics, but especially in mobile telephony and consumer.  On the other hand, Microsoft still earning $87 billion of revenue and growing.  Microsoft, arguably, still own the office productivity space and are continuing to push new innovative products.
How will you make your mark?  Satya: “it’s not really about making my mark, more what Microsoft can do.  A key paradigm for Microsoft is mobile and cloud first.  But, this means personal, individual mobility – not the device.  So, individuals able to be mobile without being tied to a particular device.”.  Good definition.  Mobility shouldn’t be about delivering to a mobile device – more, it’s about delivering mobility to individuals.  Does this mean our licensing for student Virtual Desktop will get easier?  We’re already moved to more of an individual rather than device model of use – particularly for our 33,000 students. 

Where are the areas you want to compete? Satya: “best in world for productivity – individual, team, and business process.  It’s all a continuum for me’  ‘getting platforms right – consistency for user, IT management
Is Windows 10 the core of Microsoft’s story?  Satya: “10 is a whole new story – not just an iteration after Windows 8.”  “we need to architect Windows for general purpose compute, Internet of things” “User consistency is key.  We got a few things wrong in Windows 8”.  I haven’t heard much about Microsoft’s Internet of Things / sensor etc approach.  Will windows really run on these tiny, mostly ARM based, sensors?

What about licencing – how can you make this simpler? Satya: “we’re focused on this.  Cloud offers huge opportunity for simplification.  But, people still also want perpetual licensing  So, no push to 100% subscription licencing.  Not like Adobe ‘cloud’ licensing then.
One license thing to simplify?  Satya: “as people transition from device to user / individual”.   Yes please.   Our use of Microsoft and other software has and is moving to individual rather than device usage.  Everyone else is or will be too and licensing in this environment is a mess.

Will Windows run on sensors? Satya: “well, yes, it’s factored and architected to do this” – really?  I guess there is Windows RT for Arm but is this really fit for purpose for the billions of Arm chips / sensors? (my is question partially answered later on).
What about the phone?  Satya: “We’re happy with Nokia.  But, the real bet is Windows 10.  No one else has an OS that works across phone, tablet and PC – using mouse, keyboard across all  We have one OS and that’s a virtue” So, I guess that means Windows 10 on the phone will be a big new release.

When can we trust Universal App as a platform to create Apps?  Satya: “Now”.  OK then.
What happened to Windows 9?  Satya: “It came and went”.  Not much of an explanation but who cares?

As hybrid cloud becomes more commoditised, how will Azure differentiate? Satya: “It’s the total package.  We have SAS, Cloud, Office 365 and Azure AD.. we have a billion transactions on Azure AD – high scale  Differentiation?  Office API, Data API”  “With SQL 2014, you can automatically set up a DR position in Azure – out of the box”.   “Hybrid is a key differentiator – we’re the only people who can orchestrate and manage from a single control plane  SQL 2014 automatic DR position in Azure – interesting.  I wonder if we should be looking at this.
Satya: “We’ll be one of the key Cloud providers and we’re investing $2-4B per year CapExp” “A key approach for us is to provide a on-premise and cloud hybrid model for our software

Satya: “Azure machine learning service is used by lift company to, in real time, monitor a million lifts across the world”.  So, ISS (Intelligent Software Service) is the internet Of Things for Microsoft.  Who knew?  Gartner analysts hadn’t caught on.  I’m not clear how the billions of Arm devices are going to work with this but something to investigate.

Monday, October 6, 2014

Gartner 2014. Opening Keynote - The Challenges Ahead


And, onto the sold-out Gartner 2014 Symposium.  Customary introduction by Gene Hall, Gartner CEO.  Last year we had the ‘Nexus of Forces’.  This year what will the theme?  There is already a bit of a clue.  The  ‘Digital Industrial Economy’ is a session theme as is ‘Bimodal’ IT.  Balancing agile, reactive against the operation and steady-state operation.  Various sessions dedicated to this topic throughout the next week. 
Session begins with a warning that there will be a drone flying about the auditorium.  A few worried looks.  Hopefully, not armed.

Theme is that ‘Digital business' is upon us  ’combination of ‘social, mobile, cloud, information’ and the ‘internet of things’ are transforming  every company into a technology company.  The digital industrial economy is here.  Gene reckons he has seen more change in the last three years than the last 20 years.  Digital payments look like they will be another on the list of technical innovations that will disrupt existing business.   The Internet of things is expanding exponentially.    More smart machines but more ways to hack and so we must be risk aware – fraud, misuse of data and perhaps even paramilitary attacks.  Leaders who do not keep up with the pace of change will fail.  The clock is ticking.    Finally, the savvy CEO boss is listening and motivated.  Gartner predicts the Internet of Things will contribute $1.9 trillion dollars of value-add by 2020. 

So, the good news is that 47% of CIOs thought they were in the van-guard of the new digitial economy.  Leading from the front.  The not so good news is that CEOs thought 15% of their CIOs were in the lead, driving them forward.   Still, 15% is pretty good - higher than any other role in an organisation.

What CIOs thought:


What CEOs thought:


So, what about the internet of things?
Anything of any value will have sensors.  Is it too late to invest in ARM shares? The new digital economy is a disrupter.  Gartner say that some organisations will be reluctant.  These new digital business models may be leaner with lower margins with high start-up costs.  Existing higher profit businesses will be radically challenged and find it organisationally difficult to commit to a lower revenue deriving business model.  We are becoming, as a Society, digital first.  Digital competes with, blends and complements the analogue world.

We need to plan for a world that is digital first.  Digital first humans will not look to analogue styles of interaction and seek out companies, products that provide this model of interaction.
IT spend outside of central IT will increase from 38% to 50% by 2020.

 

This outside IT spend is being driven by the increasing shift to digital – with more and more spend gravitating to business units who are using technology to drive business unit profits.  By 2018, business will own only half of their own server capacity – the other half will go to cloud providers.  Cloud service costs will reduce by 40% by 2017.  Now is a good time to look at cloud providers.   Gartner predict 50% of CRM in cloud by 2016.
Enterprise IT needs to learn from the start-up IT spend model.
The digital ‘start-up’ model for IT costs is very different from the enterprise IT model – choosing to rent services that do not provide competitive advantage.  People are a focus and where spend it concentrated. 
Talent is the key to digital leadership and in 2015 the key skills will be mobile, user experience and data sciences.  In 2017 robotics, smart machines, internet of things, automated judgements and ethics.  I'm not sure what automated judgments are?
Internet of things and cognitive machines.  Smart machines are now being used to grade exam papers – with grading becoming more consistent and accurate.  Turns out the company is Exl - interesting for us.  They're using the IDM Watson cognitive machine platform apparently.
Big and scary prediction.  Gartner predicts that 1 in 3 jobs will be converted to smart machines, robots and cognitive machines by 2025.     The societal impact of this, if true, is bound to be profound.   Will job losses be big?  Up until now, Globalisation has been the driver for first world job loss and the transfer of lower value jobs to lower cost economies.   Peter Thiel (starter of Paypal, first external investor Facebook) and others are skeptical and suggest that the impact of smart machines will be lmuch ower.  Globalisation has and will continue to be a far more important driver for job loss / movement.   The Economist noted last week that US median wages, despite recent pretty good job growth, is dire.   In the last 5 years, US GDP is up 8% but median income is actually down 4% (according to Census Bureau and Sentier Research).   This means that the median wage - the thing that really measures the wealth of the majority of workers - hasn't improved since the late eighties.  What's the link?  Well, if Gartner are right (compounded by more globalisation), the median wages are probably going to fall further and perhaps at a greater rate (by the way, the figures in the UK are similar).  But, Gartner are hopeful and say they expect that new higher value jobs will be created to compensate - non routine work that is difficult to automate (US census suggests total routine work has dropped from 60-40%; non routine work risen from 40-60%).
Roger Marti suggested in the Oct 2014 Business Harvard Review that there is another couple of contributing factors.  A major factor, he reckons, is the way company execs are rewarded based on share price.  There has been a two decade long increase in companies chosing to buy their own stock.  Why, Roger Marti asks?  He suggests that this is a good way to to prop up their company share price and ensure execs are rewarded suitably.  Another factor is that a share price driven motive is inherently short-term. 
On to bimodal IT.  Jack Welsh said ‘If the rate of change on the outside exceeds the rate of change in the inside then the end is near’
Bimodal IT will drive our ability to innovate and react responsively to change.  Gartner predicts in 2015 45% of organisations will have a have fast mode.  This will increase to 75% by 2017.  Safe and secure operational systems have been the bedrock of IT but CIOs need to develop a split personality – fast and slow. 
Experiment faster and fail faster.  Start a DevOps initiative – combination of continuous development and operation.
Gartner predict by 2018 embedded devices will begin to be hacked.
New risks must be managed – but risk is a leadership and managerial judgement.  Accepting risk positively with awareness is smart leadership, ignoring risk is not.

So what are the main risks to this brave new world?

 
The risk that particuarly resonates with us is probably 2. Information Integration.  We can improve our approach to data exchange with our systems of record - like SITS - and our large number of other dependant systems.  And, I think this means getting serious about SOA and some kind of Enterprise Service Bus.  Obviously quality and security are important but I think we already have good plans to better address these.

Gartner introduce new technical term - Creepyness.  Creepy is attractive and repulsive at the same time.   European country passed legislation to collect all data in all parking meters to catch tax dogers using company cars for personal use.  perhaps fair enough but what about to catch employees in places they shouldn't be? or to monitor more personal activity?     Gartner contends that there must be a balance. 

 In the future, put people in the centre - all design must be human centric – do not ask people for requrements.  Watch what they do instead.   Example quoted of hospital emergency unit where requirements seemed clear – improve efficiency and effectiveness of existing systems.  Independent ‘ethical’ company investigate.  Turned out emergency unit and individual nurses had already bought tablets and a patchwork of technology sidelining the Enterprise IT.    Focusing on the existing unused system would have improved a failed system.

One other interesting trend that Gartner think they've spotted is the move, as they call it, to the 'sharing economy'.  Businesses such as AirBNB, Lyft, Uber, Zip car have tapped into this.  Young people are no longer as interested in, say, owning a car.  They're more interested in getting a 'ride' (or a 'lift' in the UK).  So, things like cars are no longer the status symbol or passage to adulthood that they once were, argue Gartner and others.  This embryonic 'sharing' economy seems to be keyed into economic challenges; young people are more skint (cash poor) than perhaps their parents but also motivated by a sympathetic understanding of wider social issues such as global warming.  Founder of Lyft, John Zimmer, and his car sharing outfit now have around 80,000 drivers - successfully offering to share their cars.  A US business predicated on voluntary car sharing with a total stranger would probably not have been predicted a decade ago.

What does this all mean for us? (working notes)

Well, lots of what we have on our existing IT strategy is great and fits pretty well with  the content from the Gartner and Educause conferences.  So, that's good.

But, there are a few areas that need perhaps a bit more attention or at least re-enforcement.

Agile, Bimodel and DevOps.  We're right to champion the agile agenda - perseverance ought to pay off.  We need to continue with the push, supported by training, practice by example and any help we can get.  Bimodal IT is smething we need to practice - agility, taking a calculated risk but also having the skills to provide solid, steady state IT.  An aspect of this is not to sweat the small stuff too much.  Yes, we need to think hard about security and, in particular, data security but it's a balance.  In the end, our customers will go straight to cloud / SaaS providers to get what they want if we are too much of an inhibiter.  The is true in the Higher Education space but, actually, it's true in pretty much every other area too.

Analytics and Business Intellegence.  Analytics is at the top of the corporate agenda; tied, as it is, to big data. While it's high on our priority list, we could be more aspirational - the potential for e.g. predictive analysis of student behavour, engagement and outcomes, is big. Other places are using this data for, they say, effective outcome predictions - with the opportunity to intervene early to improve retention and lots more.  This is also top of the Educause list or Higher Education priorities.  A positive step would be to review and adjust our target outcomes for our BI work, with perhaps extra effort added to help.

Software as a Service (SaaS) and cloud.  The evidence shows we're heading to an inflection point.  There is an argument that from now on, rather than just another option for us, we ought to move to a SaaS / Cloud first approach (Yes, Cloud and SaaS are different - but part of the same picture).  Our new(ish) data centre is about 4 years old.  Still absolutely essential but... we might not fill it.  Some applications aren't there yet for the Cloud - VDI, not convinced on latency and bandwidth quite yet but it will be at some point.  The argument from Paul Strong (CTO VMWare), which I agree with, is that we need to simplify and standardise to get economies of scale and allow our energies to go to higher value, business focused activity - like analytics / business intellegence.  By standardising, we can automate our infrastructure and move towards increased efficiency.  This means specifically for us that we need a hybrid cloud strategy.  I think this means implementing VMWare Director - meaning we can burst / move / manage virtual servers across from our data centre to, say, Amazon Web Services.  As a counterbalance, Peter Thiel (founder of Paypal, first external investor Facebook) argues that many of the SaaS and cloud hosting claims are somewhat 'fraudulant' - and organisations ought to be cautious.  He suggests, as many do, that a lot of cloud and SaaS claims are simply rebundled existing products and a route for suppliers to extract more revenue from customers wthout necessarily adding value.    Talking about SaaS, a big question for us is what we do about our on premise Sharepoint 2007/10 Learning management platform (VLE).  I spent a couple of workshop hours with Gartner's Mark Gilbert and about 25 Sharepoint end users.  What became clear, was that an on premise to cloud O365 migration is going to be tricky and time consuming.  Those customisations we've made need careful scutiny and might need to be completely re-written.  The O365 API doesn't offer like for like functionality.  Of course, that's apart from the security and other stuff that will be important.  Generally, the room was less enthusiastic about cloud adoption apart from Education users who get cheap O365 hosting - of course, general pessimism somtimes decends when you ask IT people about what might go wrong.   And, drum roll, Sharepoint 2016 will ship in the summer of 2015 and be on as well as cloud based.  

To support the SaaS and cloud future, Gartner Server hosting (cloud) prediction below.  Hyperscale are the likes of Amazon, Microsoft:



Mobility. Mobility is the next area that we need to continue to focus on and Microsoft's CEO, Satya Nadella, has the right definition of mobility.  It's all about allowing people to be mobile with their data and applications moving with them.  It's not about targeting a mobile device form factor so much.  For us,  VDI is central to how we achieve this and we need to continue to focus on pushing the use case further.  Gartner have published some research that suggests we're on the right track.  Adding shared graphics cards and the like to increase the number of applciations that are sensibly supported.  e.g. we need to provide the Adobe suite across all of our student devices.  It means we provide mobility to our students - they can be anywhere they like and still get access to the applications and data they need.  Saving them time and also providing convenience.  So, responsive design for our web should also be a continued focus - but remembering that it's about mobility of applications and data as well as targeting specific device form factors.   A chief principle for us ought to be the avoidance of 'physical silos' - physical locations students and staff need to go to get access to their software and data. 

Building the core. This was also a bit of a theme and relevant to us.  The key thing here is that those wishing to get ahead with SaaS and Bimodal IT need to have a solid core.  This, for us, means a solid and reliable and predictable way of exchanging data from our systems of record (our student information system - SITS, Finance and HR).   So, SOA and some kind of enterprise service bus.  We're behind the curve on this by some way - as mentioned above under risks.

Design - A number of sessions and theme running through the Gartner conference is the emphasis on proper attention and effort invested in interface design; what Gartner call human based design.  We've seen that developers are often not the right people to make interface design decisions.  From our Student Information System (application form) to our VDI desktop and everything in between, we need to take this more seriously.  At the moment, we have no one charged with an overall responsibility for human interface design although, of course, some of us provide guidance.

Customer focus.  Another theme through the conference.   For us it's, of course, about our students and potential students.  We are delivering a range of additional benefits for our students.  However, it's definately worth reviewing and focusing what we're doing here.  Across the range of project and activities we're delivering - GetITSorted, more software to students from our Virtual Desktop, on-line submission of course work, extra wireless etc.   We're delivering a range of benefits - but perhaps we need more focus and make sure we're concentrating on the most impactful work.

Wireless and number of devices (coupled with Mobility).  The number of devices we support on our campuses is going to grow.  It's gowing to grow a lot.  Driven by wearable technology and just more and more devices being brought to campus by our students and staff.  Some interesting predictions below.  We have already made significant investment - but, and we have provision in our strategy, we need to continue the momentum.  A good first start is to re-do our capacity planning for wireless - using a higher device count per individual.



 
Sensible Risk Management. Take security seriously - but it must be balanced. Active and positive assessment and acceptance of reasonable risk is part of managing sensibly. Ignoring risk is something different.   This does mean providing access to things like GoogleDocs.  In the audience, roughly about 50% were using GoogleDocs - sample of around 150 people in risk management workshop. 

Gartner and Educause Technology Trends.

So how does this list compare against the Gartner and EduCause 2015 technology trends?  Gartner's is below - with the EduCause trends second.    Analytics and BI feature highly in the Educause list (1,4) and Gartners (4, 5) and fits with the discussions at the Higher Education CIO workshop held at Gartner.  This is a priority for CIOs in Higher Education and many see the potential for improving student outcomes.  Educause still have Identity management as a major technology focus in 2015 - which echoes our own experience.  Computing everywhere and the internet of things - we need to build foundations and that, for us, means ubiquitous, fast and reliable wireless everywhere for more end devices (discussed above).


Educause:




Interesting technologies to keep an eye on.   Look at those technologies that could 'flip' our IT offering - Microsoft Delve sounds interesting as a new UX approach.    The IBM Watson intelligent machine platform looks interesting.    Lots of demos at Gartner were using the underlying Watson technology to analyse and summarise data trends e.g. Looking at an individual's social network presence and predicting possible behavour.  Apparently, (and this sounds crazy) Google looked at the calorific value of food on plates in their canteen and adjusted plate size based on employee success (Nikos Drakos, Gartner).  Gartner would probably recommend looking at some of this emerging technology in a small pilot or proof of concept.  Some of these initiatives might pay off.
---
Peter Theil keynote interview:
http://events.gartner.com/#/en/navigator/sym24/agenda/25731/sessiondetail/speakers-tab

A bit more on the sharing economy from the Guardian
http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/sep/28/sharing-economy-internet-hype-benefits-overstated-evgeny-morozov

Thursday, October 2, 2014

EduCause: Wearable technology, who wouldn't want to be a cyborg?

Prepare to Wear! Exploring Wearable Technologies in the Learning Environment

https://www.educause.edu/annual-conference/2014/prepare-wear-exploring-wearable-technologies-learning-environment

Premise: "This is the year of wearable technologies.  We'll all be cyborgs soon enough. "

Interesting presentation by some genuinely passionate Google Glass wearing presenters.  But well, slightly troubling. 

There is quite a mix of privacy, social acceptance, potential exploitation and even fashion issues at play here.  I've no doubt at all that the wearable technology will explode in the next few years.  It'll be all pervasive, at least to the technically franchised.  Poorer and less digitally capable - not so much.  Although, as technology gets cheaper via volume production then its reach will obviously and inevitably grow.  I'm betting (incommon with many others) and the presenters suggest (a little) that wearable will morph into technology that's rather more permanently and physically connected.  Of course, we already have medical devices implanted to prolong and enhance people's lives and that's obviously of great benefit.  The use case will expand though, to enhance healthy people's every-day lives.   On an individual or consumer basis, how many people would hesitate if offered instant easy access, say,  to a memory bank of information?  Never having to memorise a text book again.  What about companies, countries?  They'd perhaps be motivated to go quite a bit further.

Design / fashion and social acceptance might hold things up a bit at first.  But design is getting better.  It really is - Fitbit, Jaw Bone - improving.   And anyway, going forward devices will probably become mostly invisible - unless we want them to be visible that is.

The Pew institute (http://www.pewresearch.org/) estimate that between 2011-2013 the number of minutes spent on-line doubled.  From 98.1 minutes on-line daily to 194.7 minutes two years later.  This trend, they say and I'm not sure anyone would argue, is set to continue.

About a quarter of the 100 strong or so audience admitted to wearing some tech.  Mostly fitness bands.  We probably aren't a representative sample being mostly middle aged IT managers.

https://www.polleverywhere.com/mayageorgiev742#polls/9163329

A new computing cycle is charging forward with wider and better access to network connectivity at its core.  The presenters suggest that the connectivity we have now will look primitive in 5 or 10 years time.  This has big implications for suppliers of connectivity like us.  We take wireless connectivity seriously.  But, we'll need it to be at the centre of what we deliver going forward.  Capacity planning will need to take into account this big technology connectivity trend.  This won't be just about wireless and we'll need, of course, to think about 4G, 5G - and what else?  In a few years looking back it might look more like a societal and cultural revolution  than technical.   At the other side of this change we'll basically see our student and staff pretty much permanently connected.  Constantly accessing information and applications but also acting as personal data collectors - pumping huge amounts of information, video into vast data warehouses in the cloud.  Even if it is a private cloud - like ours in our University data centre in Cambridge.

The presenters thought that wearables will redefine the relationship between technology and humans. At some point, technology will be integrated into our brains. Rather disturbing.

So, anyway - Wearable tech at the moment?

The Google Glass specs might be the most well known - but there are just a few around at the moment.

A similiar, and the presenters thought more exciting, product is the Meta 3D - augmented holographic glasses.  Available fall 2014 at $3000 and wired to a small computer.  Their web site is here https://www.spaceglasses.com/ 

The youtube video below demostrates some of their capabilities:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f2ws53oSvyE&noredirect=1

A slightly unsettling but entertaining glimpse into the future made a couple of years before Meta3D was around is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ziHCvpikLh8

Another player is this area is the Pivothead smart glasses.

Fitness / health bands are a big part of all of this and the market is predicted to grow from 107 million to 515 million by 2017.

Not to be outdone - shoes - connected to a smart phone - they vibrate to tell you where to go.  Who knew?

Next up is the Muse 'brain sensing headband' .  A band that, well, you wear around your head.  Apparently it congratulates you if you spend enough time with a 'positive and calm mind'.  More features open up if your mind is in a good place.  Really?  I'm not sure many people would take very well to a head-band telling them to calm down.  I could be wrong.

So, onto 'Narrative clips'.  Basically, technology that records all your day-to-day experiences.  Disturbingly, there is no off or on switch.  It's permanently on, beaming everything to data storage in the cloud.

One of the presenters has been wearing one for a while.  She began to notice more who she chose to speak to and be more aware of her own behavour and general social interactions.  After a time, she noticed that she tended to have lots of pictures of a certain colleague.  Via the use of Narritive Clips she realised that she must really enjoy this other person's company.   Not something she had been aware of - she said.  I guess this means she / others replay their clips and review later?  Interesting to have action replays of day-to-day interaction.  I'm sure some will find this alarming.   Especially, since there is no off or on button - it's always recording.

Want one?  http://getnarrative.com/

And, what about privacy? what's public, what's private? It's hard not to conclude that, in the future, much of our lives will be recorded.  Inevitably these recording will circulate, be analysed and used in ways we can probably not predict.  Well, we can predict a few.

Will people accept being constantly recorded? The presenter thought there would be a critical mass which would lead to general acceptance.  That sounds pretty accurate.  In an earlier presentation, data was presented on 72,000 students who were asked if they minded their personal data being digitally categorised and tracked and used later by their University.  Only 9% had a problem.  Of the Other 91% most thought it was a good idea.

http://gregoredu.blogspot.com/2014/10/educause-2014-what-matters-most-to.html

Apparently, one tenth of all photos ever taken were taken last year. (I'm guessing the quality has reduced a bit though)

A relatively, on first glance, light piece on sleeping habits in various US cities was published recently in the Huffington Post.  People get most sleep in Orlando apparenly.  Where I'm currently typing.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/08/18/cities-most-least-sleep_n_5683105.html

The interesting aspect of this article is that the data was collected by users of the fit-band 'Jaw Bone'.  I don't know if this data was collected with their users permission but - there it is - mass data collection.  These devices will collect much more data in the future that will be summarised, analysed and used for all kinds of purposes.  Some good some, perhaps, not so.

Another interesting technology is the Oculus Rift - immersive virtual reality head mounted display. 

The suggestion is that there will be new forms of sensory experience.  Interesting start-up Reality Cave: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7tEFlSxPNjc

The presenters suggested learning and teaching uses already include architecture, journalism, medicine.

What are the other challenges to wearable tech?  Batteries.  Batteries.  Batteries.  CPU increases - battery life not so much.

The future?  "The future is not a faster horse"








EduCause: Is your IT Strategy up to it?

8am session entitled "Is Your Strategic Plan Ready for the Latest Innovation?"

Premise is:  "New trends challenge our campuses' strategic plans almost every day. Big data, MOOCs, flipped classrooms, BYOD, responsive design, and the cloud necessitate solutions as well as agile and dynamic responses from the IT department. Hear how a panel of experts tackles these and other challenges with innovative technology backed by strong strategic plans"

Panel members here:  https://www.educause.edu/annual-conference/2014/your-strategic-plan-ready-latest-innovation

DB -  Deborah Burak, CIO, Northampton Community College
DM - David Monchusie, CIO, Park University

There is a session later on wearable technologies - which might be a nice segway.

First, plaudits to the only IT manager in a group of about 50 who said he didn't allow BYOD.  Not that I agree with him.

DB:  "Student success is a key thread through our plan"

DB: "New president focused on a new college strategic plan with 5 focuses.  Student outreach, Student completion, diversity and global engagment, community engagement, leadership in technology"  "Tech focus:  Infrastructure, innovation labs, MOOCs, assessment, flipped classrooms, emerging tech.  Early alert system for failing students, responsive design for the web"

Early alert systems might need more focus in our strategic plan - dividends are obvious.

DB: "Innovation labs - all new tech, gold LEED certified, additional monitors, mobile pieces, be prepared to scale up, small changes in a room"  

Two monitors in more of our Open Access areas might be helpful - not sure what we can do on mobile? 

DB: "We made big use of feedback, surveys to understand what students thought"

DB: "Flipped classrooms, make sure Faculty involved, Teaching and Learning round table - been a good place to facilitate innovation"  

Strikes me that we ought to be coming up with great ideas for how tech can be used to push us forward.  We can sometimes operate more like an inhibitor.

DB: "All projects need to be aligned to the 5 strategic focuses"

DM: "New president focused on student success, strengthen brand, customer service effectiveness, optimise use of technology, strengthen fiscal position"

DM: "tech focus:  Direct new efforts and resources, innocative delivery, expand global markets, analytics and big data"

DM: "Board of governers very tech savvy and are supportive"  "Data and metrics needs to be a focus"

DM: "focus on delivering core values and product"  "It comes down to access anytime anywhere to any device - this is what drive us"

DM: "You've got to have a strong network.  We put in an MPLS circuit to mesh us together"  "many of these places are military and remote - which was a challenge"

This isn't so much of a  problem for us - with JANET and our 2x10gbit inter-campus links

DM: "virtualisation is a key focus, offering virtual desktops everywhere to provide access to what students need wherever they are"

DM: "analytics, big data, comes from anywhere.  How do we put it all together?  Do we have the smarts in house?  We're making use of our partners to get this right, using a data warehouse.  Cognos at the front end."

We do have a range of data that could drive us perhaps a little harder than we're going.

Similarities between both strategies include - student success and analytics.

So, on to innovative technologies.

"Cloud based, Teradata really helped to - inexpensive"
Timetrade - "great scheduling cloud tool."

http://www.timetrade.com/

"Has made a massive difference to our interview scheduling."

DM: "How do you prevent 'white elephant' tech - i.e. not used.  Start with Faculty and allow them to drive forward".   "Get out there and partner with your student government"

Our Faculty learning technologists are key here.

DS: "Use readiness for technology adoption framework.  Started at the top and worked down"  "Used clickers to gauge and elicit opinion"

What were the challenges?

DM: "You won't get it right first time - with the innovation labs, we met with the academics later, emphasising a pilot approach, get feedback and be prepared to change"   "helps to scale"  "We have limited resources - how to you balance this? get backing from customers, stakeholders"

DS: "How do you do more with less?  Virtualisation is one way to get this out there.  BYOD is a good way to manage costs - staff, students bring their own end devices."

Wednesday, October 1, 2014

EduCause 2014: Think small

Think small and get big results.

Presentation by Jim Kulich - CIO Elmhurst College.

Premise is that ordinary things that we do and perhaps on the margin could make a real difference.

Used: http://www.polleverywhere.com/ which worked pretty well.

Lots of ideas from the session here:
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1GxjDDfXJFeDaGz8WNlJNO2RWPOcfH7X2ioFam45uL5Q/edit?usp=sharing